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Currency Markets

EU Sidesteps Recession With Respite From Energy Crisis

C

Christopher Gutfreund

Founder · 14 February 2023

Currencies Covered:

EUR

Eurostat's initial estimates show a 0.1% economic growth in the Eurozone for the last quarter of 2022, in line with expectations and fuelled by lower energy …

span>span>Tuesday 14th February 2023/span>span> - 10:22 (GMT)/span>/span>

Eurostat's initial estimates show a 0.1% economic growth in the Eurozone for the last quarter of 2022, in line with expectations and fuelled by lower energy costs. This modest uptick prevents a technical recession and brings the year's economic growth to 3.5% across the 27 countries - outpacing China and the US but trailing the UK's 4.1%.

Germany, however, remains on the verge of recession with a 0.2% GDP decline in Q4, undershooting the anticipated 0%. Meanwhile, France and Spain eke out a 0.1% and 0.2% growth, respectively, aided by mild winter weather.

As gas prices continue to fall, inflation likely peaked in the region at 9.2% in 2022, with forecasts predicting a dip to 6.4% in 2023 and then 2.8% in 2024. Employment grew by a higher-than-expected 0.4% in Q4 2022, prompting increased euro demand.

Prospects for the EU's 2023 economic growth are now pegged at 0.8%, with some experts predicting it could go even higher by year-end.

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