Skip to main content

Currency Markets

UK Inflation Remains Stubbornly High

C

Christopher Gutfreund

Founder · 18 January 2023

Currencies Covered:

GBP

Core inflation, which excludes volatile items such as energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, remained stable at 6.3% in December, slightly below market forecasts…

span>span>Wednesday 18th January /span>span>2023/span>span> - 07:25 (GMT)/span>/span>

Inflation in the United Kingdom eased slightly to 10.5% in the 12 months to December, according to figures released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), just below forecasts of 10.6%, but still close to record highs and stubbornly over 10%.

Rising food and drink prices were the main driver, with prices rising by 16.9% between November and December alone. On the other hand, easing fuel prices, along with clothing, footwear, recreation and culture, provided downward pressure.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile items such as energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, remained stable at 6.3% in December, slightly below market forecasts of 6.6%, but still well above pre-pandemic levels.

These latest readings leave inflation now sitting five times higher than the Bank of England's 2% target, which has increased the likelihood of further interest rate hikes throughout 2023. This immediately pushed GBP demand higher ahead of the central bank's next meeting on February 2nd.

Additionally, data released by the ONS yesterday showed that UK wages grew at the fastest rate in more than 20 years between September and November 2022. Average pay, including and excluding bonuses, rose by 6.4%, the highest growth since 2001, but a 2.6% fall in real terms when adjusted for rising prices.

TEL +44(0)161 250 3375
ICO No. ZA532056 | Company No. 11973815

UNITED KINGDOM END CUSTOMERS: Payment and e-money services are provided by The Currency Cloud Limited. Registered in England No. 06323311. Registered Office: 1 Sheldon Square, London, W2 6TT, United Kingdom. The Currency Cloud Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Electronic Money Regulations 2011 for the issuing of electronic money (FRN: 900199) | UNITED STATES END CUSTOMERS: Payment services in the United States are provided by Visa Global Services Inc. (VGSI), a licensed money transmitter (NMLS ID 181032) in the states listed here: https://usa.visa.com/legal/visa-global-services-licenses.html VGSI is licensed as a money transmitter by the New York Department of Financial Services. Mailing address: 900 Metro Center Blvd, Mailstop 1Z, Foster City, CA 94404. VGSI is also a registered Money Services Business (“MSB”) with FinCEN and a registered Foreign MSB with FINTRAC. For live customer support contact VGSI at (888) 733-0041 | EEA END CUSTOMERS: The issuance of e-money and the provision of related payment services for Medlock & Thames are provided by CurrencyCloud B.V. CurrencyCloud B.V. is registered with the Dutch Chamber of Commerce in the Netherlands under number 72186178. Registered office Mr. Treublaan 7, 1097 DP, Amsterdam, Netherlands. CurrencyCloud B.V. is licensed and regulated by De Nederlandsche Bank as an Electronic Money Institution (Relation Number: R142701). https://www.currencycloud.com/legal/terms/ | Medlock & Thames’ payment and foreign currency exchange services are provided by Global Currency Exchange Network Ltd T/A GC Partners. Global Currency Exchange Network Ltd is authorised by the FCA under the Payment Services Regulations, 2017 (FRN: 504346). Registered as a Money Services Business, regulated by HM Revenue & Customs (“HMRC”) under the Money Laundering Regulations 2017. (Registration number is 12137189). Registered in England and Wales. Company number 04675786. Registered Office 3rd Floor 100 New Bond Street, London, England, W1S 1SP.