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Currency Markets

UK Economy Stalls as Services and Production Output Decline

C

Christopher Gutfreund

Founder · 13 April 2023

Currencies Covered:

GBP

UK gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0% in February – below the market expectation of a 0.1% increase and well below Januarys upwardly revised 0.4% figure.

span>span>Thursday 13th April 2023/span>span> - 08:22 (BST)/span>/span>

The British economy flatlined during February following a robust performance in January, according to the latest data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). UK gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0% in February – below the market expectation of a 0.1% increase and well below Januarys upwardly revised 0.4% figure.

The slowdown was primarily driven by the services sector, which contracted by 0.1%, largely due to declines in education (-1.7%) and public administration and defence (-1.1%). The education sector was hit by teacher strikes, while the public administration and defence sector faced challenges related to budget constraints.

Meanwhile, production output also declined by 0.2%, with electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply (-2.2%) being the main contributor to the fall, while manufacturing remained flat. This trend was indicative of the challenges that businesses faced in navigating the energy crisis that affected the UK in February.

Despite the challenging economic climate, there were pockets of growth in the consumer-facing services sector, which recorded a 0.4% increase, buoyed by strong performances in retail trade (except for motor vehicles and motorcycles), which rose by 1.2%. This was a positive sign for the UK economy, as consumer spending remains a crucial driver of growth.

Another area that registered strong growth was the construction sector, which surged by 2.4% to a record level of £15,558 million. This was attributed to the increased demand for private housing repair and maintenance and non-housing repair and maintenance.

Overall, the UK GDP grew by 0.1% in the three months to February, taking it 0.3% above its pre-coronavirus levels. While this is a positive development, the outlook for the UK economy remains uncertain, with challenges such as rising inflation, the energy crisis, and the ongoing impact of the pandemic likely to have a significant impact on growth going forward.

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