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Currency Markets

Market Focus: Q4 2025, Inflation and Rates Take Centre Stage

C

Christopher Gutfreund

Founder · 07 October 2025

Currencies Covered:

GBP

A surprise jump in US inflation could force the Fed to hold rates higher for longer, giving the dollar another boost.

span>span>Tuesday 07th October 2025/span>span> - 11:11 (BST)/span>/span>

USD: Steady With a Slight Edge

EUR: Edging Upward But Facing Hurdles

GBP: More Fragile With Limited Upside

Summary

Several events could quickly shift trends. A surprise jump in US inflation could force the Fed to hold rates higher for longer, giving the dollar another boost. Energy shocks or political turmoil in Europe could weigh heavily on the euro. In the UK, any new spending plans or a credible deficit-reduction push could move sterling sharply in either direction.

Trading ranges are anticipated to remain tight and ensuring a competitive rate when entering the market must be a priority. Medlock & Thames offers a free health-check of your current setup and can quickly qualify how much your foreign exchange transfers really cost.

If you'd like to discuss this further, please contact myself at cg@medlockandthames.com or +44(0)161 250 3376.

Christopher Gutfreund
Founder | Medlock & Thames

TEL +44(0)161 250 3375
ICO No. ZA532056 | Company No. 11973815

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